Dow Futures Plunge 250 Points as Moody's Downgrade Hits Treasury Yields


U.S. stock indices indicated a decline on Sunday evening as investors considered new alerts about U.S. debt levels and the possibility of increased tensions in President Donald Trump's trade conflict.

Futures for the Dow The Jones Industrial Average fell by 250 points, which is equivalent to a 0.58% decrease. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures declined by 0.6%. Nasdaq futures fell 0.61%.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury jumped 4.6 basis points to 4.485% afterwards. Moody's reduced the U.S. credit rating One step later on Friday, it moved to Aa1 from AAA, which is the top rating.

It mentioned "the rise over a span of more than ten years in the ratio of government debt and interest payments to heights surpassing those of comparably rated sovereign nations."

The value of the dollar dropped by 0.16% relative to the euro and decreased by 0.13% compared to the yen. The price of gold surged by 1.86%, reaching $3,246.40 per ounce. Prices for U.S. oil remained unchanged at $62.50 a barrel, whereas Brent crude edged upward by less than 0.1%, settling at $65.45.

The stock market had been performing well ever since Trump started halting or reducing some of his harshest tariffs. Actually, The S&P 500 is merely 3% away from reaching its highest point. following a fierce comeback, with several seasoned market players anticipating further increases.

On Friday, reports that The U.S. and the European Union initiated substantial talks. boosted markets after surging earlier this month Trump’s de-escalation with China along with a trade agreement he struck with Great Britain.

But on Sunday, Treasury Secretary Scott warned Any country found not negotiating honestly will face tariffs reverting to “Liberation Day” levels, leading to a massive sell-off similar to what happened last month.

During an interview on CNN’s State of the Union He mentioned that the U.S. is primarily concentrating on 18 "significant" trading partners, whereas for many of the smaller ones, they can simply assign a figure.

“I also believe that we will execute numerous regional agreements—‘this is the price for Central America, this is the pricing for this section of Africa,’" Bessent mentioned additionally.

A downgrade from Moody's might also restrict further potential gains in stock prices, particularly if it leads to increased borrowing costs through rising Treasury yields.

However, certain Wall Street analysts have indicated that this information does not provide investors with any novel insights and mirrors previous actions taken by Standard & Poor's in 2011 and Fitch in 2023.

In the meantime, the Congress controlled by Republicans is attempting to prolong the tax reductions implemented during Trump’s initial term and introduce additional cuts such as eliminating taxes on gratuities, overtime pay, and Social Security earnings. Although legislators are simultaneously seeking ways to cut expenditures, with several advocating for higher taxes on millionaires to increase government funds, the cumulative effect of these financial strategies will likely result in trillions being added to the federal budget shortfall over the next few years.

That's because the deficit has surpassed $1 trillion for this fiscal year and reached $2 trillion in previous fiscal years. Interest payments on the debt have become one of the largest expenditures, even outpacing the defense budget.

Moody's stated on Friday that over the coming ten years, we anticipate increased budget shortfalls due to escalating entitlement expenditures coupled with relatively stable governmental income. Consequently, continuous substantial financial deficits will elevate the nation's debt levels along with associated interest payments. As a result, the U.S.'s fiscal standing is expected to decline both from historical standards and when benchmarked against other top-tier countries.

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